Wednesday, December 05, 2007

Why Iran NEEDS nuclear energy, not weapons.

Iran holds the second largest crude oil reserve in the world after Saudi Arabia. It has the second largest gas reserve after Russia. It is geographically positioned ideally for export and has a sufficient infrastructure of pipelines, so this leaves two questions:
1. Why does Iran only supply 5 percent of the world's oil?
and
2. Why does Iran need nuclear energy?

The answers are actually much clearer than the American people like to see or the American government likes to admit.

Dirty deals for a cleaner energy source
Believe it or not, it was the US that actually sponsored the early atomic proliferation program in Iran. After the CIA-supported coup of 1953, Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi was brought to power and the US deemed the Iranian regime sufficiently friendly to possess nuclear technology. From a Cold War mindset, this was practical because it gave the US a nuclear-powered ally on the doorstep of the USSR and conveniently sitting atop the world's second-largest oil supply in the heart of the Middle East. Through the '60s, the Shah constructed a plan to rollout a nuclear program and, with the aid of the US, 23 nuclear facilities. He was emboldened by a firm belief that some day in the near future, the world's oil supply would be depleted and the need for energy would persist. Nuclear energy, in the Shah's mind, was the answer.

IN 1976, President Gerald Ford (with Dick Cheney as White House Chief of Staff and Donald Rumsfeld as Sec. of Defense) made an offer to the Shah to buy a US-built plutonium reprocessing facility - a nuclear reactor. The goal on both sides was to preserve the natural well beneath Iran, guaranteeing a long-term oil supply for the future, but the deal was put off by the 1979 Revolution.

Following the revolution, Iran attempted to restart its nuclear program with the same intentions as before: a need to prepare for the future. But the international community reneged on agreements signed prior to the revolution neither delivering fuels that were promised to Iran or aiding in the construction of new facilities, nor returning the billions of dollars that had been paid by Iran for the aid. This led to the tension between Iran and the West that we are still dealing with today and the placement of sanctions over Iran by the US.

US Sanctions
Now imagine for a minute that you are Iran and the West is, say, a case of Coca-Cola. Now every time you tried to deal with this case of Coke through the '80s, the cans were either empty or blew up in your face. What would you do? Switch to Pepsi maybe?

Well, that's what Iran did. Since the capitalists screwed Iran over, they turned to the Communists and began making deals with Russia and China. The US didn't like this very much, and when Iran purchased a nuclear conversion plant - much like the one they were promised by Cheney and Company twenty years before- the US (like an Amy Winehouse song) said, "No, no, no." Iran has been under official sanctions by the US for nearly two decades, but following this event, the US tightened its grip approved secondary sanctions over any country that does business with Iran. That was 1996. Since then there has been no (recorded) foreign investment into Iran - especially not by American firms.

Refineries, subsidies and a need to import energy.
No one is doing official business with Iran, but there are plenty of black market sales. Petrol is highly subsidized by Iran, which means easy access at low prices - the A-B-C of that means high consumption and a huge smuggling problem into boarding countries. And because Iran not seen a lot of capital for industry development, there aren't many refineries in the country. So lacking the ability to convert crude into a usable energy source coupled with an enormous consumption level, although Iran is one of the world's largest oil producers, it still has to import petrol.

Pipeline projects and international pressures.
Iran actually has an enormous pipeline network and because of its massive production, it would be a contender for more pipeline projects, but sanctions have prevented investment in this area as well. To add insult to injury, the US has consistently negotiated to have pipelines circumvent Iran. They are even pressuring India to move their big project through America's favorite Pakistan.

You decide
Sure Iran has lots of energy sources. Yes, a massive quantity of their primary natural resource is being wasted through corruption and smuggling. They need to regulate their borders and find ways to secure their oil. And there is little doubt that the Iranian government is hoarding an incredibly valuable international asset. But are they wrong for doing it? Really? With all of the talk about global warming and all of the concern globally about renewable energy sources, the Shah of Iran was actually ahead of in foreseeing the day that the wells run dry.

To date, there is no evidence that Iran has weaponized nuclear technology. Nor is there evidence that it is seeking to manufacture nuclear weapons. So ask yourself this, considering the magnifying glass under which the country is operating, doesn't it make sense that the people of Iran would trade oil that they can't refine for weapons rather then spend years and billions of dollars trying to figure out how to manufacture them?

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